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Spain v Netherlands Betting Tips [24 March 2025]

Football - UEFA Nations League

24 March 2025 3:45

SPAIN
3
End
3
NETHERLANDS
45' :  1 - 0
penalties: 8-7
Over 2.5 goals
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The match

A stoppage time goal preserved Spain’s unbeaten run and they will hope to keep that going when they host the Netherlands on Sunday. The two will be meeting in the return leg of their nations League quarter-final, which currently stands at 2-2. Read on for our prediction of the match.

It took substitute Mikel Merino’s 90th minute goal to salvage a draw after letting their lead slip in Rotterdam. As they head home to host the Netherlands in Valencia, Spain hold a run of 17 matches undefeated.

The European champions are also looking to retain this title. One area they’ll want to improve on is their defending. They only have three clean sheets in 11 matches.

The Dutch will feel disappointed at how the first leg panned out. They didn’t just concede late, but also had defender Jorrel Hato sent off with just nine minutes to go.

That result left Oranje with just one win in the last six matches. Ronald Koeman’s side has not been at the desired levels defensively and having a defender suspended doesn’t help.

They have one clean sheet in nine matches, and conceded twice in four of those nine matches. The visitors need a win of any form here to proceed, but on the road, they are winless in the last three.

History favors them though, as the Dutch are unbeaten in the last four against Spain.

Key Statistics

  • Two of the last four matches between these two had over 2.5 goals.
  • Each of Spain’s last four matches produced over 2.5 goals.
  • 16 goals were scored in Spain’s last five Nations League matches.
  • 2.6 goals were scored on average in the Netherlands’ last five matches.

The bet of our experts

Spain have maintained their attacking sharpness in recent matches but there seems to be an imbalance at the back. They haven't kept a clean sheet in the last three matches. In fact, they conceded four times in just the last two. As a result, their matches have been high scoring, a case that has also been noticed with the Dutch.

The Netherlands have just two clean sheets in 10 matches, while seven of them produced over 2.5 goals. Our prediction for Spain v the Netherlands is for over 2.5 goals.

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Created on 22/03/2025 at 00:03
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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