Empoli are on a good run in Serie A and as they host giants AC Milan, they will be out to cause a shock on Match Day 19. Ahead of the game, Empoli are ninth on 27 points while Milan are third with 39 points. In their last game, Empoli came from down to pick a point in a 1-1 draw with Spezia. That was their fifth straight unbeaten outing in Serie A. They have just one clean sheet in the last five league matches and three of the five have produced over 2.5 goals. They’ve scored in each of the five matches, on three occasions managing two or more goals. Empoli have one win in six meetings with Milan and this is a trend they’ll be keen to change. Five of their last six meetings have also produced over 2.5 goals.
Milan have three wins in six meetings with Empoli; they’ve lost just once in that run and this will be a game they want to win. They are coming from a 1-0 loss to title rivals Napoli, a defeat that saw them drop to third. It hasn’t been a very good run in recent times and Milan will want to change this, having gone winless in the last three matches across all competitions. They have two losses in the last five league matches and their two wins in that run have come against much weaker opposition – Genoa and Salernitana. The two clean sheets they’ve kept in the last five league matches have also been in those games. Four of their last five away league matches have produced over 2.5 goals and they have just one clean sheet in the process.
Over 2.5 goals has been a regular occurrence in these two sides’ meetings. Going to this game we can’t rule out the possibility of that being realized, looking at their runs and the quality of attackers. The two sides haven’t been the strongest defensively, which reinforces this. Go for the game to produce over 2.5 goals.